Well I had a nice holiday, hope you all did too.
Nifty(4866): Most of the BRIC markets have had a nice start to 2012 and India is up a tidy 4.5%. So, many of you might want to know if things have turned a corner. Here is my prop indicator which signalled the start of a bearish phase for India in November 2010:
- India Barometer
As can be seen from the chart above, the indicator is continuing to clock lower lows and is accelerating lower. The best the bulls could hope for is that, this indicator this time is going to be concurrent rather than lead the market.
The pattern on Nifty still resembles a 5 wave down move followed by a 3 wave correction. This is still a bearish configuration. A drop to 4800-4775 will be a confirmation of this bearish set up.
So at 4800-4775 , we will look for shorting opportunity. Frontline banks are likely to come under pressure. Support for Nifty 4800 and Resistance kicks in at 4920-4950.